U.S. Treasury options traders have differing views on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path, focusing on the tone of the Waller press conference

According to Jinshi reports, options traders' views on the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate path are increasingly divergent, with various betting directions ranging from bets on interest rate cuts in the coming months to differing degrees of interest rate hikes. Swap market pricing shows that it is almost a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at its meeting on Wednesday, and all eyes will turn to Chairman Waller's first press conference for clues about future policy. Although the United States and Iran are preparing to officially sign a temporary peace agreement, oil prices have fallen to a three-month low, providing some relief to inflationary pressures, but future policy remains unclear.